Year	Party in Power	Election Outcome	Incumbent Vote Share (%)	Growth Rate (%)	Inflation Rate (%)	Good News Quarters	Duration Value	War	President Running	Party Variable
1916	D	President Wilson beats Hughes	51.7	2.2	4.3	3	0.00	0	1	1
1920	D	Cox loses to Harding	36.1	-11.5	16.5	5	1.00	1	0	1
1924	R	Pres. Coolidge beats Davis and LaFollette	58.2	-3.9	5.2	10	0.00	0	1	0
1928	R	Hoover beats Smith	58.8	4.6	0.2	7	1.00	0	0	0
1932	R	Pres. Hoover loses to Roosevelt	40.8	-14.9	7.1	4	1.25	0	1	0
1936	D	Pres. Roosevelt beats Landon	62.5	11.9	2.4	9	0.00	0	1	1
1940	D	Pres. Roosevelt beats Willkie	55.0	3.7	0.0	8	1.00	0	1	1
1944	D	Pres. Roosevelt beats Dewey	53.8	4.1	5.7	14	1.25	1	1	1
1948	D	Pres. Truman beats Dewey	52.4	1.8	8.7	5	1.50	1	1	1
1952	D	Stevenson loses to Eisenhower	44.6	0.6	2.3	6	1.75	0	0	1
1956	R	Pres. Eisenhower beats Stevenson	57.8	-1.5	1.9	5	0.00	0	1	0
1960	R	Nixon loses to Kennedy	49.9	0.1	1.9	5	1.00	0	0	0
1964	D	Pres. Johnson beats Goldwater	61.3	5.1	1.2	10	0.00	0	1	1
1968	D	Humphrey loses to Nixon	49.6	4.8	3.2	7	1.00	0	0	1
1972	R	Pres. Nixon beats McGovern	61.8	6.3	4.8	4	0.00	0	1	0
1976	R	Ford loses to Carter	48.9	3.7	7.7	4	1.00	0	0	0
1980	D	Pres. Carter loses to Reagan	44.7	-3.8	8.1	5	0.00	0	1	1
1984	R	Pres. Reagan beats Mondale	59.2	5.4	5.4	7	0.00	0	1	0
1988	R	G. Bush beats Dukakis	53.9	2.1	3.3	6	1.00	0	0	0
1992	R	Pres. G. Bush loses to Clinton	46.5	2.3	3.7	1	1.25	0	1	0
1996	D	Pres. Clinton beats Dole	54.7	2.9	2.3	3	0.00	0	1	1