"Economic Geography, Trade, and War" (with
David H. Bearce), forthcoming in the Journal of Conflict Resolution
This paper uses computational techniques to explore the relationship between
trade and war. It develops and simulates an agent-based model in which economic
exchange and military conflict are emergent processes. The model of exchange is
an applied analysis of the economics of trading networks. The model of conflict
treats war as a breakdown in inter-state bargaining due to incomplete
information. The simulations explore how initial economic geography, state
revisionism, defensive advantage, and technological advancement akin to
globalization affect both trade and war. They show that same factors promoting
trade may also facilitate military conquest, thus revealing an important
qualification to the conventional wisdom that there should be an inverse
relationship between war and trade.